Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
120 Penn 74.1%   15   23 - 8 12 - 2 23 - 8 12 - 2 +3.2      +1.6 120 +1.6 120 71.1 121 +4.3 105 +7.1 2
133 Harvard 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 2 17 - 13 12 - 2 +1.9      +0.9 133 +0.9 133 63.8 312 +1.2 152 +7.4 1
184 Princeton 16.7%   12 - 16 5 - 9 12 - 16 5 - 9 -1.3      -0.6 184 -0.6 184 62.3 330 -2.9 209 -6.4 6
186 Yale 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 5 15 - 15 9 - 5 -1.4      -0.7 186 -0.7 186 70.8 126 -0.6 177 +0.9 3
227 Columbia 6.2%   7 - 19 5 - 9 7 - 19 5 - 9 -3.8      -1.9 227 -1.9 227 72.9 80 -8.7 297 -6.0 5
252 Cornell 0.0%   11 - 16 6 - 8 11 - 16 6 - 8 -5.5      -2.8 252 -2.8 252 71.7 108 -4.0 231 -3.9 4
263 Brown 2.0%   10 - 16 4 - 10 10 - 16 4 - 10 -6.0      -3.0 263 -3.0 263 76.2 37 -6.4 267 -7.6 7
285 Dartmouth 0.9%   6 - 20 3 - 11 6 - 20 3 - 11 -7.3      -3.7 285 -3.7 285 65.9 253 -9.9 312 -9.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Penn 1.0 100.0
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Princeton 5.0 100.0
Yale 3.0 100.0
Columbia 5.0 100.0
Cornell 4.0 100.0
Brown 7.0 100.0
Dartmouth 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Penn 12 - 2 100.0
Harvard 12 - 2 100.0
Princeton 5 - 9 100.0
Yale 9 - 5 100.0
Columbia 5 - 9 100.0
Cornell 6 - 8 100.0
Brown 4 - 10 100.0
Dartmouth 3 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Penn 100.0% 100.0
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Princeton
Yale
Columbia
Cornell
Brown
Dartmouth


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Penn 74.1% 74.1% 0.0% 15   1.9 34.7 35.9 1.6 25.9 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 16.7 83.3 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 6.2 93.8 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0 98.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.9 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Penn 74.1% 0.0% 74.1% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 16.7% 15.3% 12.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 6.2% 6.2% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.5% 0.9 8.5 91.5
2nd Round 6.6% 0.1 93.4 6.6
Sweet Sixteen 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0